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Russell 2000: are retail traders long or short?

Russell 2000: 37/100, leaning short. Small traders hold 31,470 long and 23,909 short contracts: 56.8% long. Week before: 38. A year before: 70. Three-year range: 11 to 100.

On 9 October 2026 small traders in CME/ICE E-mini Russell 2000 futures were 56.8% long, a Crowd Gauge reading of 37 out of 100 (leaning short), according to TradingLookup's Crowd Gauge (October 2026).

The CFTC report released that day, positions as of the Tuesday before.

The contract behind the reading

Contract
CME/ICE E-mini Russell 2000 futures
CFTC contract code
239742 790 weekly reports since 13 August 2002
Contract size
The unit of trade shall be $50.00 times the Index CME Group contract specs, read 14 October 2026
A long position is
a bet that the Russell 2000 index rises.
In the composite
No: its own reading only

Positioning, not price. "Small traders" are everyone below the CFTC's reporting size ("non-reportable"): the closest public measure of retail positioning in CME/ICE E-mini Russell 2000 futures. It also holds some small firms, so treat it as a proxy.

What today's reading means

Russell 2000 reads 37: small traders' long share is above about 37% of the last 156 weekly readings in this contract. The last crowded-long week (80+) was 20 February 2026. The last crowded-short week (20 or less) was 18 September 2026.

Record readings for Russell 2000

Highest Crowd Gauge reading
99.7 6 weeks, first on 13 November 2020, most recently 6 December 2024
Lowest Crowd Gauge reading
0.3 6 weeks, first on 14 September 2007, most recently 12 May 2023
Most long small traders have been
79.2% long positions as of 7 November 2006
Least long
12.1% long positions as of 19 February 2008

Readings from 6 January 2006 (621 weeks). Long share from 3 January 2006, in the CFTC contract above.

How often Russell 2000 hits an extreme

Russell 2000: weeks at an extreme, 6 January 2006 to 9 October 2026
BandWeeksShare of weeksSeparate spellsLongest spellMost recent
Crowded long (80+) 124 20% 15 28 weeks, to 28 February 2025 20 February 2026
Crowded short (20 or less) 113 18% 11 50 weeks, to 13 June 2008 18 September 2026

A new spell starts after 4 or more weeks outside the band, the same rule as the backtest's "episodes". Weeks are counted from the first published reading above.

History

Russell 2000: Crowd Gauge, last three yearsWeekly readings for Russell 2000, 0 to 100, to 2026-10-09. Latest 37.0204060801002024202520262026-10-09: 37
Last three years, weekly. Lines at 20, 40, 60 and 80 mark the bands.
Russell 2000: Crowd Gauge, full historyWeekly readings for Russell 2000 from 2006-01-06 to 2026-10-09.02040608010020072010201320162019202220252026-10-09: 37
From 6 January 2006, the first week with three years of history behind it (or one year for newer contracts).

Last 12 weekly readings

Russell 2000: Crowd Gauge and CFTC small-trader positions (contract 239742), latest first
ReleasedReadingBandChangeLongShortLong share
36.9Leaning short−131,47023,90956.8%
37.5Leaning short−630,02722,79956.8%
43.9Balanced+2627,97720,58457.6%
18.3Crowded short−1328,78525,11853.4%
31.7Leaning short+1327,26521,56055.8%
18.9Crowded short−3326,96123,39953.5%
52.2Balanced+1028,66520,00058.9%
42.6Balanced−428,54321,23557.3%
46.5Balanced−2227,82319,94958.2%
68.9Leaning long+2329,14618,72860.9%
45.8Balanced−1925,96119,11357.6%
64.4Leaning long−1528,34018,66360.3%

Change: points on the 0 to 100 scale against the week before. Positions are as of the Tuesday before each release.

Did extreme Russell 2000 readings come before price moves?

Not tested: no free daily price series we can use. The pooled result across the markets we could test is on the method page.

Sources for Russell 2000

Download every number: history CSV, COT observations CSV (CC BY 4.0). Spotted a mistake? Tell us.

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