Russell 2000: are retail traders long or short?
Russell 2000: 37/100, leaning short. Small traders hold 31,470 long and 23,909 short contracts: 56.8% long. Week before: 38. A year before: 70. Three-year range: 11 to 100.
On 9 October 2026 small traders in CME/ICE E-mini Russell 2000 futures were 56.8% long, a Crowd Gauge reading of 37 out of 100 (leaning short), according to TradingLookup's Crowd Gauge (October 2026).
- Data as of
- All markets
- Method
The contract behind the reading
- Contract
- CME/ICE E-mini Russell 2000 futures
- CFTC contract code
- 239742
- Contract size
The unit of trade shall be $50.00 times the Index
- A long position is
- a bet that the Russell 2000 index rises.
- In the composite
- No: its own reading only
Positioning, not price. "Small traders" are everyone below the CFTC's reporting size ("non-reportable"): the closest public measure of retail positioning in CME/ICE E-mini Russell 2000 futures. It also holds some small firms, so treat it as a proxy.
What today's reading means
Russell 2000 reads 37: small traders' long share is above about 37% of the last 156 weekly readings in this contract. The last crowded-long week (80+) was 20 February 2026. The last crowded-short week (20 or less) was 18 September 2026.
Record readings for Russell 2000
- Highest Crowd Gauge reading
- 99.7
- Lowest Crowd Gauge reading
- 0.3
- Most long small traders have been
- 79.2% long
- Least long
- 12.1% long
How often Russell 2000 hits an extreme
| Band | Weeks | Share of weeks | Separate spells | Longest spell | Most recent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowded long (80+) | 124 | 20% | 15 | 28 weeks, to 28 February 2025 | 20 February 2026 |
| Crowded short (20 or less) | 113 | 18% | 11 | 50 weeks, to 13 June 2008 | 18 September 2026 |
History
Last 12 weekly readings
| Released | Reading | Band | Change | Long | Short | Long share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.9 | Leaning short | −1 | 31,470 | 23,909 | 56.8% | |
| 37.5 | Leaning short | −6 | 30,027 | 22,799 | 56.8% | |
| 43.9 | Balanced | +26 | 27,977 | 20,584 | 57.6% | |
| 18.3 | Crowded short | −13 | 28,785 | 25,118 | 53.4% | |
| 31.7 | Leaning short | +13 | 27,265 | 21,560 | 55.8% | |
| 18.9 | Crowded short | −33 | 26,961 | 23,399 | 53.5% | |
| 52.2 | Balanced | +10 | 28,665 | 20,000 | 58.9% | |
| 42.6 | Balanced | −4 | 28,543 | 21,235 | 57.3% | |
| 46.5 | Balanced | −22 | 27,823 | 19,949 | 58.2% | |
| 68.9 | Leaning long | +23 | 29,146 | 18,728 | 60.9% | |
| 45.8 | Balanced | −19 | 25,961 | 19,113 | 57.6% | |
| 64.4 | Leaning long | −15 | 28,340 | 18,663 | 60.3% |
Did extreme Russell 2000 readings come before price moves?
Not tested: no free daily price series we can use. The pooled result across the markets we could test is on the method page.
Sources for Russell 2000
- CFTC COT (small traders)In the reading (contract code 239742). 790 weekly reports since 13 August 2002.
- Stock market Crowd Fear & Greed
- S&P 500 77/100
- Nasdaq-100 55/100