TradingLookup

Silver: are retail traders long or short?

Silver: 88/100, crowded long. Small traders hold 26,906 long and 8,467 short contracts: 76.1% long. Week before: 74. A year before: 66. Three-year range: 6 to 100.

On 9 October 2026 small traders in COMEX silver futures were 76.1% long, a Crowd Gauge reading of 88 out of 100 (crowded long), according to TradingLookup's Crowd Gauge (October 2026).

The CFTC report released that day, positions as of the Tuesday before.

The contract behind the reading

Contract
COMEX silver futures
CFTC contract code
084691 1,937 weekly reports since 15 January 1986
Contract size
The contract unit shall be five thousand (5,000) troy ounces COMEX Group contract specs, read 14 October 2026
A long position is
a bet that the silver price rises.
In the composite
No: its own reading only

Positioning, not price. "Small traders" are everyone below the CFTC's reporting size ("non-reportable"): the closest public measure of retail positioning in COMEX silver futures. It also holds some small firms, so treat it as a proxy.

What today's reading means

Silver reads 88: small traders' long share is above about 88% of the last 156 weekly readings in this contract. The last crowded-short week (20 or less) was 3 July 2026.

Record readings for Silver

Highest Crowd Gauge reading
99.7 23 weeks, first on 5 August 2016, most recently 5 July 2024
Lowest Crowd Gauge reading
0.3 18 weeks, first on 3 October 2008, most recently 8 July 2022
Most long small traders have been
84.2% long positions as of 31 December 2019
Least long
51.1% long positions as of 7 May 2013

Readings from 6 January 2006 (1,084 weeks). Long share from 3 January 2006, in the CFTC contract above.

How often Silver hits an extreme

Silver: weeks at an extreme, 6 January 2006 to 9 October 2026
BandWeeksShare of weeksSeparate spellsLongest spellMost recent
Crowded long (80+) 232 21% 29 28 weeks, to 24 March 2017 9 October 2026
Crowded short (20 or less) 231 21% 33 29 weeks, to 11 November 2022 3 July 2026

A new spell starts after 4 or more weeks outside the band, the same rule as the backtest's "episodes". Weeks are counted from the first published reading above.

History

Silver: Crowd Gauge, last three yearsWeekly readings for Silver, 0 to 100, to 2026-10-09. Latest 88.0204060801002024202520262026-10-09: 88
Last three years, weekly. Lines at 20, 40, 60 and 80 mark the bands.
Silver: Crowd Gauge, full historyWeekly readings for Silver from 2006-01-06 to 2026-10-09.02040608010020072010201320162019202220252026-10-09: 88
From 6 January 2006, the first week with three years of history behind it (or one year for newer contracts).

Last 12 weekly readings

Silver: Crowd Gauge and CFTC small-trader positions (contract 084691), latest first
ReleasedReadingBandChangeLongShortLong share
87.5Crowded long+1326,9068,46776.1%
74.0Leaning long−1827,1359,20874.7%
92.0Crowded long+127,7308,42076.7%
90.7Crowded long−725,0867,71276.5%
97.8Crowded long+326,2247,36578.1%
94.6Crowded long+626,4577,91677.0%
88.1Crowded long−1028,9559,16376.0%
97.8Crowded long+329,6028,43577.8%
95.2Crowded long+429,1058,77776.8%
90.7Crowded long+2426,5078,36576.0%
66.4Leaning long+1825,9629,37073.5%
48.4Balanced−2927,46110,47372.4%

Change: points on the 0 to 100 scale against the week before. Positions are as of the Tuesday before each release.

Did extreme Silver readings come before price moves?

Not tested: no free daily price series we can use. The pooled result across the markets we could test is on the method page.

Sources for Silver

Download every number: history CSV, COT observations CSV (CC BY 4.0). Spotted a mistake? Tell us.

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