TradingLookup

Copper: are retail traders long or short?

Copper: 65/100, leaning long. Small traders hold 17,160 long and 8,671 short contracts: 66.4% long. Week before: 82. A year before: 89. Three-year range: 2 to 100.

On 9 October 2026 small traders in COMEX copper futures were 66.4% long, a Crowd Gauge reading of 65 out of 100 (leaning long), according to TradingLookup's Crowd Gauge (October 2026).

The CFTC report released that day, positions as of the Tuesday before.

The contract behind the reading

Contract
COMEX copper futures
CFTC contract code
085692 1,852 weekly reports since 31 July 1989
A long position is
a bet that the copper price rises.
In the composite
No: its own reading only

Positioning, not price. "Small traders" are everyone below the CFTC's reporting size ("non-reportable"): the closest public measure of retail positioning in COMEX copper futures. It also holds some small firms, so treat it as a proxy.

What today's reading means

Copper reads 65: small traders' long share is above about 65% of the last 156 weekly readings in this contract. The last crowded-long week (80+) was 2 October 2026. The last crowded-short week (20 or less) was 1 August 2025.

Record readings for Copper

Highest Crowd Gauge reading
99.7 25 weeks, first on 22 May 2009, most recently 23 January 2026
Lowest Crowd Gauge reading
0.3 18 weeks, first on 16 June 2006, most recently 27 March 2020
Most long small traders have been
75.0% long positions as of 20 January 2026
Least long
30.7% long positions as of 29 May 2012

Readings from 6 January 2006 (1,084 weeks). Long share from 3 January 2006, in the CFTC contract above.

How often Copper hits an extreme

Copper: weeks at an extreme, 6 January 2006 to 9 October 2026
BandWeeksShare of weeksSeparate spellsLongest spellMost recent
Crowded long (80+) 299 28% 22 33 weeks, to 20 March 2026 2 October 2026
Crowded short (20 or less) 237 22% 31 24 weeks, to 23 March 2007 1 August 2025

A new spell starts after 4 or more weeks outside the band, the same rule as the backtest's "episodes". Weeks are counted from the first published reading above.

History

Copper: Crowd Gauge, last three yearsWeekly readings for Copper, 0 to 100, to 2026-10-09. Latest 65.0204060801002024202520262026-10-09: 65
Last three years, weekly. Lines at 20, 40, 60 and 80 mark the bands.
Copper: Crowd Gauge, full historyWeekly readings for Copper from 2006-01-06 to 2026-10-09.02040608010020072010201320162019202220252026-10-09: 65
From 6 January 2006, the first week with three years of history behind it (or one year for newer contracts).

Last 12 weekly readings

Copper: Crowd Gauge and CFTC small-trader positions (contract 085692), latest first
ReleasedReadingBandChangeLongShortLong share
65.1Leaning long−1717,1608,67166.4%
81.7Crowded long+1017,8308,40068.0%
72.1Leaning long+319,3999,48667.2%
68.9Leaning long−2318,4129,15966.8%
92.0Crowded long+220,5418,37371.0%
90.1Crowded long+2019,4008,16270.4%
70.2Leaning long−719,5039,72066.7%
77.2Leaning long+320,1089,71667.4%
74.0Leaning long+1521,32410,46667.1%
58.7Balanced−819,94010,89464.7%
66.4Leaning long+1018,6809,80065.6%
56.7Balanced−1219,33611,20163.3%

Change: points on the 0 to 100 scale against the week before. Positions are as of the Tuesday before each release.

Did extreme Copper readings come before price moves?

Not tested: no free daily price series we can use. The pooled result across the markets we could test is on the method page.

Sources for Copper

Download every number: history CSV, COT observations CSV (CC BY 4.0). Spotted a mistake? Tell us.

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